Commentary and Philosophy Poetry posted February 2, 2019 Chapters:  ...145 146 -147- 148... 


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A Frost's Fire and Ice Format

A chapter in the book Commentary and Philosophy

Hot and Cold

by Treischel



Before, the earth was filled with ice,
the age of cold,
where mammoths ruled their frigid paradise
with woolly coats to those extremes sufficed,
before the climate change took hold.
Then air began its turning warm,
where new realities controlled,
became the norm
for young and old.

It's warmer now, by some degrees.
The trend goes on,
where natural cycles warm, then freeze.
The causes have no guarantees.
Adaptive species haven't gone
the ways of those that can't.
Though no conclusions are foregone,
while many rant
and lines are drawn.

Humanity does factor in.
To what extent
the scientists are ponderin',
which varies, where the stat's begin,
and hangs upon a deemed percent.
Will swings go on, no matter what?
Can natural forces circumvent
to undercut
this warmth event?





Yesterday it was -27 Degrees F here in Minnesota.

Although we are lead to believe that Global Warming is caused by human activity, to which all scientists agree. That is not true. That assumption is based on a very biased, governmentally controlled IPCC Report. In fact there an equal number of scientists who support the contrary NICPP Report. The Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC) was set up to examine the same climate data used by the United Nations-sponsored Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). On the most important issue, the IPC's claim that "most of the observed increase in global average temperatures since the mid-20th century is very likely (defined by the IPCC as between 90 to 99 percent certain) due to the observed increase in greenhouse gas concentrations," the NIPCC reaches the opposite conclusion - namely, that natural causes are very likely to be the dominant cause. Note: They do not say greenhouse (GH) gases cannot produce some warming, but conclude that the evidence shows they are not playing a significant role.
IPCC Concerns:
- The IPCC"s key personnel and lead authors were appointed by governments, and have been subject to approval by member governments of the UN.
- The IPCC was an activist enterprise from the very beginning. Its agenda was to justify control of the emission of greenhouse gases.
- From the very beginning, the IPCC was a political rather than scientific entity.
- While we are often told about the thousands of scientists on whose work the Assessment reports are based, the vast majority of these scientists have no direct influence on the conclusions expressed by the IPCC. Those assessments are produced by an inner core of scientists, revised and agreed to, line-by-line, by representatives of member governments.
- Its reports ignored available evidence against a human contribution to current warming and the substantial research of the past few years on the effects of solar activity on climate change.
- its organization as a government entity beholden to political agendas is a major reason its conclusions are controversial
- The large professional and financial rewards that go to scientists and bureaucrats who are willing to bend scientific facts to match those agendas is yet a another major reason for concern

The NIPCC has found that "fingerprints" from best available observations with the results of state-of-the-art GH models leads to the conclusion that the (human-caused) Green House contribution is minor. The IPCC continues to undervalue the overwhelming evidence that, on decadal and century-long time scales, the Sun and associated atmospheric cloud effects are responsible for much of past climate change.
The NIPPC Report is an equally voluminous and scientifically supported report that addresses a series of crucial topics, in addition to their overall finding stated above:
- Computer models are unreliable guides to future climate conditions
- Sea-level rise is not significantly affected by rise in GH gases
- The data on ocean heat content have been misused to suggest anthropogenic warming. The role of GH gases in the reported rise in ocean temperature is largely unknown
- Understanding of the atmospheric carbon dioxide budget is incomplete.
- How Much of Modern Warming Is Anthropogenic is discussed
- Higher concentrations of CO2 are more likely to be beneficial to plant and animal life and to human health than lower concentrations
- The economic effects of modest warming are likely to be positive and beneficial to human health
In conclusion, the imperfect understanding of the causes and consequences of climate change means the science is far from settled. This, in turn, means proposed efforts to mitigate climate change by reducing GH gas emissions are premature and misguided. Any attempt to influence global temperatures by reducing such emissions would be both futile and expensive.
And so the debate rages, and is not universally settled as some would have us believe. Source:
http://www.sepp.org/publications/NIPCC_final.pdf

This poem is a Frost's Fire and Ice Format. Based on his poem of the same name.
Robert Frost's Fire and Ice poem has 9 lines
Rhyme Scheme:
a-b-a-a-b-c-b-c-b.

Syllable Count for Frost's poem is:
8-4-8-8-8-8-8-4-4.

Stanzaic: Two or more 9 line stanzas.
Metric:
-Lines 1 AND 3 through 7 are iambic tetrameter
-Lines 2, 8, AND 9 are iambic dimeter.

This photograph was taken by the author himself on the street in front of his house on February 2, 2016.


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